18
Aug
2008
Posted by Corey Koehler as Fantasy Football Draft, Fantasy Football Sleeper, Fantasy Football Strategy
Can you believe it? We are half way through the preseason and we are under two weeks away from the first real action of the 2008 NFL regular season.
Every second searching the web for info, listening to your suggestions and comments, watching preseason games and scanning box scores has me getting pretty jacked up.
I have two drafts next weekend and I am sure many of you are getting ready for yours. That said, here are a few players that you and I should be able to get late in our drafts and have success with in 2008.
Jon Kitna QB (DET) - Last year at this time he was in the top 10 of all QB’s. This year he is not even in most people’s top twenty and the mock drafts are reflecting that. Sure Martz is gone and they are looking to run it more - who isn’t - but he still has one of the best up-and-coming tandems in the league in Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson. I can think of many quarterbacks getting drafted before him with much less to work with.
Also, look for Jon to get better protection this year. Martz used a ton of 4 WR sets which leaves the QB vulnerable. This year look for more tight ends and fullbacks helping him out. And if you need a little more convincing, consider his “perfect” passer rating through two pre-season games. There is not much risk involved if you can get him late. Sounds like a QB2 with spot starting potential and a super solid value pick to me.
Chris Johnson RB (TEN) - One of the fastest guys a last year combine is generating some buzz. Last week he had a solid debut (77 yards and a TD) and according to coaches, he will be used in many different ways as both a running back and receiver - which is suh-weet for you PPR guys.
Here’s a quote from the NFL.com “What we learned” game notes:
“Rookie RB Chris Johnson (8 carries for 46 yards) is electric with the ball, providing the offense a burst of energy whenever he touches it.”
Reggie Bush in a Titans uniform.
Josh Morgan -WR (SF) - I heard this guys name twice from two completely different sources in the last few days and then I watch him for myself against the Packer Saturday night. Everyone around him is getting injured and he is turning heads.
These very credible sources are advising you and I to keep an eye on this guy. Pat Kirwin on NFL Sirius - one of my favorite sources - mentioned how much Morgan stood apart from everyone else in camp. For what its worth, Pat even mentioned a comment by one of the SF coaches comparing him to Anquan Boldin. The very next morning FootballGuy’s mentioned him in their newsletter.
If this guy can get ANY play out of the QB, this could be one of those guys who comes out of nowhere… kinda like, Anquan Boldin a few years back. Oh and his stats last night. 5 for 114 and a TD in limited action.
Jordon Kent WR (SEA) - I saw him against the Vikes a few weeks ago and he was getting looks and making plays. With Engram out for awhile and Branch doing what he does best, recover from injuries, Kent has a chance to step in and is looking like he is putting his best foot forward. Could be a solid pickup in a pass first offense. This week against the Bears, 4 catches for 50 yards.
Robert Royal TE (BUF) - Two TD’s with the first team against the Steelers. I don’t even see his name on Fantasy Football Calculator’s average draft position rankings. If he’s getting looks from Trent Edwards now, don’t you think it a good bet he’ll be getting them during the season? Hell, maybe he’s the man that helps take some heat off Evans.
Or did I miss anyone? Feel free to offer up your opinion in the comments below.
That should do it for today. Make sure that you check out 2008 fantasy football sleepers and value picks volume 1 and volume 2 if you haven’t had the chance. See you next week for volume four.
Before I go I just want to remind you that you can still join my free fantasy football league where you get the chance to win $100 of my cash - and much more of someone else’s by the way. See how you can sign up free for my 2008 Fantasy Football Goat Rotohog League here.
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8 Responses
ffexchange
August 18th, 2008 at
1I do like Kitna for where you can get him. Also, in stock leagues, like the one you are hosting, he is a great buy low candidate. I do think the return to the run game give Kitna more protection and opens up Williams and Johnson a little more and they are your explosive receivers, not Furrey and MacDonald. I expect big years from both WRs, so it is hard for me to say Kitna will be bad, as others have.
Corey Koehler
August 18th, 2008 at
2Thanks ffexchange,
Thanks for adding a few key points to the discussion. Lions play Atlanta week one and you can bet he will be on my start’em, sit’em sleeper report for that one.
Advisor
August 18th, 2008 at
3I think Chris Johnson is slowly falling out of the “sleeper” category with these monster efforts he’s putting up. He is definitely someone to keep an eye on if he falls too low on draft boards though.
As far as Kitna goes, I think his success will be determined in large part to the effectiveness of rookie RB Kevin Smith. If he can take some pressure off Kitna that would be HUGE for Kitna’s success.
I will keep an eye on Josh Morgan as well, not sold yet, but I will watch for him. (Thanks for sharing)
One more thing…. (Steve Slaton, RB Texans)… shhhhhhhhhh… keep it quiet though. I put him in my sleepers list a month ago and he should be on radar.
Joe
August 18th, 2008 at
4What do you think about Mcfadden the RB from the Raiders? I have been watching him closely think he is a good sleeper.
Corey Koehler
August 18th, 2008 at
5Advisor,
On Johnson…yeah I was thinking that myself but had to get it out there before he is to far gone.
On Slaton…yeah he was on the list but I am waiting to see how all these injuries - with Green - are shaking out but I do like him in PPR leagues.
Thanks for stopping.
Corey Koehler
August 18th, 2008 at
6Joe,
Thanks for stopping. I hate to say it but I would not call McFadden a sleeper. If anything he is overvalued because of his NFL draft position. Bush has been getting a ton of action in preseason and word is he may be the short yardage guy (aka TD vulture). Also, you still have Fargas in the mix. Pretty muddled situation and I think there are other backs who have better value for the same price..
But that is just my feeling.
Rodney
August 19th, 2008 at
7Robert Royal
Taken from FootballOutsiders 2009:
“One of the worst starters in the NFL at any position. Royal has hands like patio block, fumbles too many of the passes he does catch, and gets flagged too often to justify his rep as a blocking tight end. Even his three-catch , 42-yard, two -touchdown effort against the Dolphins in Week 14 comes with a grain of salt: he bobbled his 28 yard touchdown for about fivie seconds before finally hauling it in”
Corey Koehler
August 19th, 2008 at
8Thanks Rodney,
That is interesting. I guess I missed that and I do respect FO’s opinions a great deal.
That said, I wonder if Trent Edwards read that before he threw those two TD passes to him last weekend. Also. I wonder if Dick Jauron read it too and will limit his touches. We’ll see.
Thanks for pointing that out. I will tame my sleeper expectations a bit.
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