Well here you are only a few weeks away from the title. Making the right call is more critical now then at any other point in the season.

But don’t sweat it my friend. Just keep doing what you’ve been doing to get here and you’ll be alright. Here are this weeks picks.

Start’em if you got’em
Willis McGahee RB (BAL) - Miami is absolutely awful against the run. They also seem to be getting worse and worse as the season goes on. The are allowing over 155 yards per game which is dead last in the league. McGahee hasn’t been burning it up as consistently as he should this year but look for a solid 125+ with at least 1 touchdown.

Final stats: 104 and zero touchdowns.
Final thoughts: Disappointing performance for the Ravens but lets give Miami their props. About freakin time.

Earnest Graham RB (TB) - Simple math in this one. The Buc’s are averaging 116 per game while Atlanta is 27th in the league and allowing 123 yards per game. Not only that but in week eleven Graham had 102 and a touchdown against the Falcons. With all the crap surrounding the Falcons, it won’t take long to get them disinterested. Graham and the Bucs get up early and run out the clock. Look for 150 and 2 touchdown out of Graham.

Final stats: 22 for 79 and a touchdown running and 5 for 40 receiving.
Final thoughts: Who needs offense when your defense and special teams are scoring. Bennett (9 for 63) and Pittman (13 for 50) also put a dent in Grahams numbers.

Sit’em if you’ve got em
Kolby Smith RB (KC) - Kolby started strong in his first start but has been sliding ever since. Only 12 yards on 13 carries last week against a below average run defense. Add to that the fact that he is now questionable with a sore knee. I bet he plays but isn’t very effective against the Titans who have been slipping but are still top ten against the run. No need to risks your title hopes on this guy when he will be lucky to get 50 yards and even luckier to sniff the endzone.

Final stats: 18 for 82 rushing, 3 for 23 receiving and 0 touchdowns.
Final thoughts: Oh that inconsistent Tennessee defense.

Any Jets Player - I don’t know how you could confidently go into this week starting any Jets player against the Patriots. They are up a against coach and a team that not only want to destroy them but have the ability to do so. Think about it, how do you feel when someone calls you a cheater? I would be pissed and very, very focused. Oh and did I mention they are playing in Foxboro? I can’t envision any Jets player getting more than 6 or 7 fantasy points.

Final stats: the closest players to anything resembling fantasy production were Chris Baker TE with 8 catches for 66 and the defense actually scored AND held the Pats to 20.
Final thoughts: The Jets gave it the old boyscout try but couldn’t get it done.

Sleepers: don’t be surprised if…
…Darius Walker RB (HOU) has a solid game versus Denver’s 29th rank rush defense Thursday night in prime time. If you have a bad match-up at RB3 or are in need of a flex player, this is your man. I like his chances on the ground and through the air. Look for 75 yards rushing, 5 for 50 receiving and a touchdown in there somewhere.

Final stats: 66 yards and missed a touchdown by about an inch. 1 catch for 2 yards.
Final thoughts: What the hell? I thought Dayne wasn’t going to play because of a bad ankle. Vulturing 11 carries and a TD. Now I know not to trust Kubiak. Gary Kubiak = Mike Shanahan.

…Clinton Portis RB (WAS) has a tough game against the Giants. His stats have been declining pretty steadily over the last half of the season; down from 5.4 yards per carry all the way down to 3.4, 2.1 and 2.0 over the last three weeks. Also, the Giant were able to contain him in week three. He had 60 yards and a touchdown that came on a very short field after a Giants fumble. I can’t see him doing much better this week; 65 yards and a touchdown vultured by Mike Sellers or Ladell Betts.

Final stats: 126 and a TD (and for the record, a touchdown for Betts).
Final thoughts: The Giants defense let me down.

Oh yeah! I also wanted to tell you to check out RotoHog.com. I figured you might want to use your fantasy skills to win a little more before the season is over.

I have been playing over there all year and I love it. You will too. It is not too late to sign up, pick a great team for this week and win some of the great prizes (like 30 gig iPods). Best of all you get to see how fun it is to play so when next year starts you can hit the ground running and go for the big prize (this year it is $100,000…I’m 69 overall). See if you can outscore me this week. Sign up for RotoHog now!

As always, that is not all my friend. There are a few other stops you should make before finalizing your starting lineup.

First, make sure you stop by and see how the Fantasy Football Librarian can help you. Every week she posts all of the start’em sit’em articles, player ranking posts and waiver wire lists that she can find so that you don’t have to hunt for them yourself. Check her out and tell her the Goat says hi.

Second, you can get more in-depth NFL player projections throughout the week by checking out the Bruno Boys website over on MVN.com.

Third, be on the lookout for the weekly fantasy football start’em sit’em podcast I co-host with Marc Caviglia.

One last thing. Subscribing to the Goat is at the all time low price of free. You can Subscribe to The Fantasy Football Goat by Email and have this stuff in your inbox seconds after I post it or you can subscribe in your feed reader or on your home page. Either way you get info like this fast and easy. Don’t understand this whole subscribing thing? Check out this short video on RSS. Isn’t technology great?