22
Nov
2007
Posted by Corey Koehler as Fantasy Football Sleeper, Fantasy Football Start Em Sit Em, Fantasy Football Tip
Before we talk a little start’em sit’em I want to wish you a happy Thanksgiving. Enjoy the food, the football and everything else you are thankful for.
This week, along with some added content, I am putting down a few names in places that may surprise you. Check them out:
Start’em if you got’em
Vince Young QB (TEN) - I think Vince is going to continue is hot streak against Cinci this week. Over the past two weeks he has thrown for 257 and 305 yards against much stronger defenses than the Bengals 30th ranked unit. He also has been racking up yards on the ground; 52 against Jacksonville and 74 plus a touchdown against Denver. He will deal with the sore quad to put up over 275 yards and 2 td’s passing and 50 yards and a td rushing.
Final stats: 246 passing, 0 touchdowns and 6 yards rushing, 0 touchdowns.
Final thoughts: He killed me in three leagues. Five trips to the redzone and only 6 points. How do you not get any touchdowns against a bad defense?
Chris Henry WR (CIN) - All he has done since returning from his suspension is put up numbers. In two weeks he has 12 catches for 180 and a TD. Also, this week he may be the number two if Housh isn’t able to go. All that and the Titans defense has been slipping the past few weeks since Haynesworth went down. I can easily see another 7 catches for 100+ and a touchdown.
Final stats: 3 catches for 41 yards.
Final thoughts: Housh played and pretty much everything else went to Chad Johnson who was able to break out a long drought.
Sit’em if you’ve got em
Daunte Culpepper QB (OAK) - If you are one of those people who is all jacked up on Daunte because he posted 300 yards on the Vikes, don’t be. This week he will have a much more difficult time against the Kansas City defense who has only allowed nine touchdowns through the air. The last time he played them he was only good for 228 and a touchdown. Jared Allen will be in his mug all day which will keep him under 228 yards again, prevent him from scoring any touchdowns and cause him to turn the ball over at least twice.
Final stats: 170 yards passing and 0 touchdowns. Oh and no turnovers.
Final thoughts: Pretty efficient performance. This game was all about the running game on both sides of the ball.
Frank Gore RB (SF) - My how the mighty have fallen. He has to be one of the biggest bust of this year and it is time to start sitting him down before he does anymore damage. This week he takes on an Arizona defense that held him to 55 yards and a touchdown in their first meeting. The touchdown Frank scored was kind of fluky since it was the result of a turnover by the Cards in San Fran territory. He won’t be that lucky this time with the improved Cards defense playing tough at home. I’ll be generous and give him 50 yards and 0 touchdowns.
Final stats: 116 yards rushing, 2 touchdowns and 11 catches for 98 yards.
Final thoughts: Wow, the guy stunk ALL YEAR and bam. I’ve been debating for a few weeks whether or not to put him on the sit’em list. Sure enough, the second I do, he goes off. Also, his first touchdown was scored off of a Cardinal turnover deep in Niners territory, just like the first game.
**Bonus Thought** Donovan McNabb QB (PHI) - If he plays you might want to put him down anyway against the Patriots. I have a feeling that he will be getting sacked a lot which will make him more likely to leave the game anyway. Less than 150 yards and no touchdowns.
Final stats: Did not play.
Final thoughts: We’ll never know if he could’ve hung with the Pats.
Sleepers: don’t be surprised if…
…Peyton Manning QB (IND) has another less than Peyton performance against Atlanta. He has been struggling as of late in part because his line and receiving corp are banged up. Add to that the fact that it is a road game on a short week and the Colts will be looking to gut it out with the run game. I know it hurts but if you have the balls to do it, and you have a decent alternative, you should put him down. Less then 200 yards and maybe 1 touchdown.
Final stats: 272 yards, 3 touchdowns and a interception.
Final thoughts: My prediction was looking pretty good… for about a quarter and a half.
…Kolby Smith RB (KC) is able to produce a solid game against the arch rival Raiders this week. Not to take anything away from Chester Taylor and the Vikes but they were able to easily blow huge holes through the Oakland 29th rank rush defense last week. The Chiefs aren’t on the same level but they should have some success too. If you want to roll the dice, this is as safe a bet as any if you need a mid to low end RB2 or RB3. Put him down to get 80 yards and a touchdown.
Final stats: 150 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Final thoughts: Great game out of the rookie. Too bad they lost.
…the Jets play the Cowboys tough. This isn’t really fantasy but what the hell. I watched the replay of Jets game against Pittsburgh last week and they played well. It looks like they may have worked on some things during the bye week. If Jones can run the ball like he did last week and the defense can put pressure on the QB like they did last week, Dallas needs to look out. While watching, keep an eye on Chris Baker the tight end, he was getting lots of looks from Clemens last week and good do well down the stretch with a few soft defenses on the schedule. The Jets will keep it close, I say 27-21 Cowboys.
Final score: 34-3 Dallas
Final thoughts: Boy I was sure close wasn’t I? Like I said, if they can run the ball and put pressure on Romo they can keep it close. They couldn’t run the ball - probably because Clemens doesn’t scare anyone - and the defense started breaking down little by little as they wore down. I was drunk on Jets karma after watching their game against the Steelers. I will watch myself in the future replay and just try to stick to fantasy picks from now on.
Be sure to check out my Fantasy Football Waiver Wire post because you may be able to pick out a sleeper or two on your own.
As always, that is not all my friend. There are a few other stops you should make before finalizing your starting lineup.
First, make sure you stop by and see how the Fantasy Football Librarian can help you. Every week she posts all of the start’em sit’em articles, player ranking posts and waiver wire lists that she can find so that you don’t have to hunt for them yourself. Check her out and tell her the Goat says hi.
Second, you can get more in-depth NFL player projections throughout the week by checking out the Bruno Boys website over on MVN.com.
Third, be on the lookout for the weekly fantasy football start’em sit’em podcast I co-host with Marc Caviglia.
One last thing. Subscribing to the Goat is at the all time low price of free. You can Subscribe to The Fantasy Football Goat by Email and have this stuff in your inbox seconds after I post it or you can subscribe in your feed reader or on your home page. Either way you get info like this fast and easy. Don’t understand this whole subscribing thing? Check out this short video on RSS. Isn’t technology great?
31 Responses
Mo
November 22nd, 2007 at
1hey corey,
thanks, awesome advice last week. this week, I have to decide between Ryan Grant and Kolby Smith for my rb3.
Also, should I pick up Javon Walker. Is he going to have any value for the remainder of the season?
Dylan
November 22nd, 2007 at
2This is just me and I’m no fantasy genius. But only a 13 yr. old kid but from what I see out of Cutler’s arm walker is defiantley a deep threat. Plus, now Defs have to spread out their formations to cover Marshall and stokley as well. Maybe even some one-on-one coverage for walker and you know Cutler will look deep.
Dylan
November 22nd, 2007 at
3hey corey been helpin me lately and would like your input.
1 QB
1 RB
2 RB/WR
1 WR
1 TE
1 DEF
QBS: Carson Palmer, David Garrad
RBS:Travis Henry, Fred Taylor, Ahman Green(droppin him for Heath Evans, Corell Buckhalter(droppin him for Kolby Smith)
WRs: Donte Stallworth, Donald Driver, Hines Ward, Lee Evans
TEs: Heath Miller, Alge Crumpler
DEF: Giants, Steelers
Corey Koehler
November 22nd, 2007 at
4Thanks for stopping Mo,
Go with GRant if he plays if not Kolby is the man.
I would grab Walker in a heartbeat.
Corey
Corey Koehler
November 22nd, 2007 at
5Hey Dylan,
Palmer.
Henry if he plays (big if) and Kolby Smith would be my first choices. Then Taylor and Evans.
Ward, Driver, Stallworth, Evans
Miller
I would start the Steelers but they are both good plays.
Corey
Jason
November 22nd, 2007 at
6Corey,
First time visitor to your site. I agree that Chris Henry has been putting up some numbers, and I’m tempted to use him this week. However, I also have Welker, Holt, and Driver to choose from and can only pick 2 WR. Who would you go with? I’d appreciate some help as I got a big game this week!
Dyan
November 22nd, 2007 at
7hey now ive got a problem. I have Anthony Thomas, Fred Taylor, Reuben Droughns, Travis Henry, Donald Driver, Stallworth, and Evans, Who should I play n my 2 rb/wr slots.
Dyan
November 22nd, 2007 at
8Sorry disregard that last message. hey now ive got a problem. I have Anthony Thomas, Fred Taylor, Reuben Droughns, Donald Driver, Stallworth, and Evans, Who should I play n my 2 rb/wr slots.
Corey Koehler
November 22nd, 2007 at
9Welcome Jason,
Hmmmm…big question. My opinion on Henry hinges on the status of Housh but Holt, Driver and Welker are no slouches either. That said, I think that the best, safest bets are Holt and Driver.
Corey
Corey Koehler
November 22nd, 2007 at
10Dyan,
Anthony Thomas and Taylor are the best options.
Thomas will get more carries, Taylor better match-up. Droughns bad matchup and biggest wild card at this point.
Driver and Stallworth against his old team.
-Corey
Quimby
November 22nd, 2007 at
11Pick one for my WR/RB flex spot
Bernard Berian
Selvin Young
Anthony Thomas
Dyan
November 22nd, 2007 at
12Thnk you once again but I don’t think you understand. In my league we have to slots to either put a rb or a wr so I needed to know the two best. Would That be Driver and Thomas???
Corey Koehler
November 22nd, 2007 at
13Dyan,
Yes, it would.
-Corey
Corey Koehler
November 22nd, 2007 at
14Hey Quimby,
Welcome.
Selvin Young would be my first pick. Keep an eye on his injury status though.
Nextt Thomas and then Berian.
I am a big proponent of using running backs as flex players since they get the most touches.
-Corey
Mark
November 23rd, 2007 at
15I’ve got a dilemma having two of the underachievers of the year in Gore & Maroney on my roster. Would you consider dropping either to pick up Mo Morris? Looks like a solid play so long as Alexander is out… problem is, how long will that be?
Also, my roster locked out my move to pick up Javon Walker… would you drop one of those two to pick up him?
My other RBs are Ryan Grant & Marshawn Lynch. My other WR/TEs are Fitz, Colston, Welker, Gates & Dallas Clark. I tried to pick up Walker by dropping Clark but he was already locked in my roster.
Corey Koehler
November 24th, 2007 at
16Hey Mark,
Thanks for stopping. I also have those guys in a few leagues. Frustrating and tricky.
I think it is a coin toss as to which one to dump (if that is what you “have” to do).
Maroney is on the better offense obviously but he’s the biggest crap shoot since you never know if they are going to use him even if he is healthy and we really never know that foresure.
Gore on the other hand is on a bad offense but at least we know he will get the touches.
With all of that said, Morris IS a much better play than either of them and it would be worth it if you need to stay in the hunt.
Walker should be pretty decent down the stretch if he is truly healthy. Looks like you have a pretty solid stable of options at WR though so you may want keep an extra back around.
OR you could try to trade with someone if not to late.
Corey
PJ
November 24th, 2007 at
17Matt Schaub or Vince Young do u think Dropping Patrick Crayton or Bobby Engram for Vince young is a good idea
Corey Koehler
November 24th, 2007 at
18PJ,
You asked the same question over on the waiver wire post, this is what I said…
PJ,
Look over the rest Youngs schedule. If there are some good match-ups that you think you could use him down the stretch, then I say yeah.
You are correct, Engram will be used less now that Branch and Hackett are back. I think we are seeing it already.
I like Schaub by a very slim margin. Both defences they are playing are very forgiving and either game could be high scoring.
-Corey
pastime247
November 24th, 2007 at
19Hey Corey,
It’s that time again! Here are my ????’s.
-Need to pick a WR to plug in case Plax or Hackett can’t go. Between Jurevicius or Nate Washington, I’m leaning to Washington, what do you think?
-Next, which QB should go, Shaub, Rivers or Young?? Shaub gave me a decent week 11, but who has a better chance for some good FFP’s week 12??
Thanks for any input!
Dylan
November 24th, 2007 at
20I’d go with Washignton and Schuab. Hines may get all of the attention so Big Ben may look nates way. And the clveland passing D is horrible.
Dylan
November 24th, 2007 at
21Corey,
I know Thomas will get more carries, but Droughns at the goal line and in the red zone????
pastime247
November 24th, 2007 at
22Thanks Dylan,
The BIG question is am I going to gamble on Hackett and Plax injuries, listed as questionable, but I’m sure they are playing, but how limited are they going to be, that’s when I would plug maybe Washington in for one of those two…..
jdamus
November 25th, 2007 at
23Who should I start at TE Vernon Davis or Greg Olsen?
Corey Koehler
November 25th, 2007 at
24Hey jdamus,
Thanks for stopping.
It is a close call but I like Davis since he doesn’t have to share. He is pretty much all they have.
Corey
Dylan
November 25th, 2007 at
25hey last minute advice… Andre Hall or Reubon Droughns
Matt
November 25th, 2007 at
26Boldin or Kolby Smith?
Corey Koehler
November 25th, 2007 at
27Dylan,
Hall
Corey
Dylan
November 25th, 2007 at
28thanx… Are you sure because of droughns at the goal line??? but I’ll trust you
Corey Koehler
November 25th, 2007 at
29Hey Matt,
Assuming its a flex spot…Kolby Smith.
I believe in RB over WR in flex spots since they get more touches.
Corey
Corey Koehler
November 26th, 2007 at
30Dylan,
If you are not sure than why are you asking?
Go with “your” gut.
You asked my opinion and I gave it.
Corey
Fantasy Sports Review » Blog Archive » Your Fantasy Football Start’em Sit’em and Sleepers for Week 12
April 16th, 2008 at
31[…] we talk a little start’em sit’em I want to wish you a happy Thanksgiving. Enjoy the food, the football and everything else you are thankful […]
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